Lack of transparency and non-disclosure of exposures to margin loans have subjected the Nigerian banking system to conflicting ratings by some financial rating institutions in the recent times.
The Nigerian public believes that banks' exposures could be more than the estimates of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) which put it at between ₦800 billion and ₦1.2 trillion as at the end of 2008, given that the Capital Market is believed to have lost over 65% of its market value or an estimated ₦8 trillion ($54 billion) since March 2008, according to TheAfrica Report, a Paris-based publication of Groupe Jeune Afrique, reputed as France's third largest press export, which classified only four of 24 banks in Nigeria as strong.
The classification has created panic among Nigerian banks, especially those classified as "shaken" and "stressed," as reports indicate that bank customers are poised to make sudden decisions based on the strength or weakness of their banks.
Reactions to the ratings
Critics of the report say the criteria used in arriving at the ratings were not specified and therefore cannot be relied upon, adding that these should have been specified so that the report would not be seen as biased.
Bismack Rewane, the Managing Director, Financial Derivatives, a Lagos-based economic intelligence outfit, said he could not comment on the strength or otherwise of the report because he did not "know the assumptions used in arriving at the conclusions."
In his opinion, some of the ratings are at variance with other recent industry ratings, such as the one released by Fitch Ratings Ltd, a global rating agency, which says it is committed to providing the world's credit markets with independent and prospective credit opinions, research, and data. Mr. Rewane argues, "The findings should have looked at the exposures relative to the earnings and profit. I don't have a problem with the report in itself, but it is at variance with that of the Fitch rating of Nigerian banks. For me, I will place greater reliance on the Fitch rating because the criteria were specific."
He further notes that The Africa Report failed to distinguish between profitability, illiquidity and insolvency, saying, "These are different issues and in my own opinion, there are no illiquid or insolvent banks in Nigeria, because the CBN has said it would not allow any bank to fail and that their capital base are still strong."
Taking a cue from this line of argument, a top management staff of UBA Plc one of the nine banks classified as "satisfactory" notes, "To rate a bank you must use certain indices such as deposit base, loan portfolio, and profit ration. I have not heard of any bank in any branch, irrespective of the rating where customers cannot cash their cheques, no matter the value. When this starts happening, then you can begin to suspect distress."
The UBA source cautioned rating companies against random ratings without specifying the criteria so as not to cause panic in the financial services sector, adding that the banking industry was very important in economic growth.
A top official of GT Bank, one of the four rated as "strong," who refused to be quoted, also called for caution among rating agents, saying, "There have been so many bank ratings lately. There is the Fitch rating, JP Morgan, Akintola Williams Deloitte and Touché, and there with the others, and the ratings depend on the criteria used so a bank considered as strong in one rating could be judged as distressed in another."
He went further to say that the bank, irrespective of its ratings, has always prided itself on "the quality of our assets, costs to income, return on equity and efficiency ratios, which are usually positive."
Only one of the banks rated by The Africa Report as "shaken" or "stressed", Access Bank, responded to NEXT enquiries. A spokesperson for the bank said that there was no basis for the categorization. "What facts do they have from the CBN to support their claims? Nobody contacted us on any issue as such we have never had any liquidity or capital adequacy issue with the Central Bank."
Mr. Rewane noted that exposures alone could not determine the health of any bank, saying, "Certainly it would affect their profitability, but if the exposures have been provided for, when the capital market recovers, they will recover some of their values."
GT Bank on its part believes "the industry is still strong irrespective of the margin exposures, and there is no need for customers and investors confidence to be shaken."
But First Bank, also one of the four "strong" banks, thinks that such rating only goes to confirm the strength of the bank as a leader. A spokesperson for the bank, Helen Ogboh, said, "Even though we do not know what the criteria they used to arrive at their judgment, it just goes to confirm that we have maintained our lead over the years. We heard about the report yesterday [Monday] and today [Tuesday] we read it in some of the national dailies and we feel excellent that we are rated strong."
The Africa Report
Although the publishers of the report were still working out their response with regard to the criteria for the rating at the time of publication, they say on their web site: "The Africa Report covers issues closest to the hearts of Africans and international investors alike accurately, incisively and comprehensively. The Africa Report goes beyond the headlines to give you in-depth reportage and analysis from writers who know their way around Africa's fast-changing worlds of business and politics."
The report says the performance of the banks follows the fall in the prices of oil and the crash of the capital market, adding, "Some hold the CBN governor, Charles Soludo, responsible for allowing a host of bad banking practices to go unchecked. Fortunately, a growing number of banks are beginning to equate more transparency with better returns."
Below is the report's classification of Nigerian banks
|
Strong |
Satisfactory |
Shaky |
Stressed |
|
Diamond Bank |
Afribank |
Access Bank |
First Inland Bank |
|
First Bank |
Citibank Nigeria |
Ecobank Nigeria |
Spring Bank (pending takeover appeal) |
|
GT Bank |
Equatorial Trust Bank |
First City Monument Bank |
Unity Bank |
|
Skye Bank |
Fidelity Bank |
Intercontinental Bank |
Wema Bank |
|
|
Platinum Habib Bank |
Oceanic Bank |
|
|
|
Stanbic IBTC |
Sterling Bank |
|
|
|
Standard Chartered Bank |
Union Bank |
|
|
|
United Bank for Africa |
|
|
|
|
Zenith Bank |
|
|
|
Conclusion: thriving, may be in a position to profit from the crisis |
Conclusion: some have margin lending issues but all will survive |
Conclusion: serious governance issues, need urgent attention |
Conclusion: on the ropes, will either sink or be swallowed |


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